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Well for me, every action has an explanation why it has been done. A long term member could have change because of different causes. Some have been said already like there might be among the members that gets to his nerves or something in the forum change that is unfavorable to that member. Or might be a very simple boredom could make the member go bad from good member.
We must look to solve the cause of the problem before letting go a long term member. Banning is the very last resort when all else fails. But I think every person has their own threshold of patience so it all depends on the mod/admin on how long will he/she holds on for this specific member.
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